FIRST ON DAILY NATSEC: If you read the new Pentagon report on China’s military, you may have noticed something interesting on page 59: the existence of a new bomber brigade of the People’s Liberation Army Rocket Force (PLARF). ) stationed near Xiangyang city.
Last year’s version of the annual report did not highlight this brigade on its map of major aviation units (see page 54). But new commercial images and a report from a defense intelligence firm, both seen by NatSec Daily, show that this newly identified Chinese facility is very real.
An analysis by Janes of commercially available satellite images taken on October 25, which we were told we could not publish to protect sources and methods, shows a new missile garrison built between 2019 and 2021 about four miles south of Xiangyang. Janes’s “event analysis” of the find notes that the “garrison possesses numerous characteristics representative of PLARF missile garrisons, including a secure perimeter, several equipment garages, and high-rise garages for transporter-erector storage and maintenance. launchers (TEL)). There are also several barracks and support facilities. ”
SEAN O’CONNOR, author of the Janes report, writes that “the unit assigned to the Xiangyang garrison is unknown, but the garrison may be intended to house the 664 Brigade.” Brigade 664 is a mobile ICBM unit equipped with the DF-31AG and was previously thought to be garrisoned in Yiyang. ”
A 2020 report from the Federation of American Scientists HANS KRISTENSEN and MATT KORDA said Brigade 664 was stationed in Yiyang and associated with the 66th Base in Henan province. Xiangyang, after all, is the closest to that base, even if the city is in Hubei province.
We reached out to Kristensen, who later found the garrison on Google Earth (he sent us the screenshot we placed above) and he also agreed that the facility is for ICBM and that the 664 Brigade is probably there. He also said that the garrison didn’t show up on Google Earth in 2019, but it does now, which matches Janes’s analysis.
The Pentagon did not respond to our request to confirm its knowledge of the tainted garrison.
This revelation adds to the flood of commercial images exposing China’s latest military moves. Maxar Technologies recently captured images of a fake US aircraft carrier in the northwestern desert of China, which could be used by forces in Beijing to practice fighting the United States.
“The large-scale outline of a US aircraft carrier and at least two Arleigh Burke-class destroyers are part of the target range that has been built in the Ruoqiang region. … The site is close to an old target range that China used to test early versions of its so-called anti-ship ballistic missiles DF-21D, the carrier killer, ”USNI News’ H I SUTTON and SAM LAGRONE reported Sunday. “This new range shows that China continues to focus on anti-aircraft capabilities, with an emphasis on US Navy warships.”
“The target of the aircraft carrier itself appears to be a flat surface without the carrier island, aircraft lifts, gun guards or other details, Maxar’s images show. On radar, the outline of the aircraft carrier stands out from the surrounding desert, not unlike the image of a target, ”they also noted.
Politico’s China observer PHELIM KINE drew our attention that China has a habit of building scale replicas of potential military targets, including targets in Taiwan.
UPPER BRASS DIPLOMATIC: BELARUS FORCING THOUSANDS OF MIGRANTS TO POLAND: For months, the government of Belarus has been pushing thousands of migrants from the Middle East, Africa and Asia towards its borders with Latvia and Lithuania, putting pressure on local forces and resources such as the Baltic countries. fight with the influx.
Now it is the turn of Poland, as thousands of Polish soldiers prepare for the arrival of at least 3,000 migrants who are concentrated on their own border, with the open help of the Belarusian security forces.
“It is state sponsored human trafficking,” Latvian Foreign Secretary ANDRIS PELŠS told our own PAUL MCLEARY. Latvia has been dealing with hundreds of migrants trying to cross its own border into Belarus. “It is not a true refugee crisis as we would normally see it. … It is very clear that it is a concerted effort by the Belarusian government [aimed at] destabilizing asylum-seeking systems in neighboring countries, ”Pelšs continued.
The push is being sponsored by the government of Belarusian President ALEXANDER LUKASHENKO, officials from across Europe and the United States have accused, although his government denies its involvement and has received support from Moscow. Videos emerged over the weekend of clashes between migrants and Polish soldiers as people tried to break through the border fences.
“We expect that in the next few hours groups of several hundred people will resume the attacks on our border,” PAWEL SOLOCH, head of Poland’s National Security Office, told reporters in Warsaw on Monday.
“What we have now is that the regime in Belarus is actively marketing opportunities for tourism from the Middle East to Belarus, which is fine in itself. But what happens to tourists is that, with the full knowledge of the Belarusian authorities, they are transferred to the EU borders and then try to cross, ”said Pelšs.
CIA BURNS DIRECTOR CHAT WITH PUTIN: CIA Director WILLIAM BURNS had a strange conversation with Russian President VLADIMIR PUTIN last week, mainly to discuss how “serious” the United States considers the military concentration in Moscow to along the border with Ukraine.
“It would be foolish for us not to consider the possibility of an invasion or incursion,” a person familiar with the conversation told CNN’s JIM SCIUTTO and NATASHA BERTRAND. Putin’s spokesman DMITRY PESKOV confirmed the conversation and said other bilateral issues emerged, including cybersecurity issues.
President JOE BIDEN sent Burns to Russia last week amid downward spiraling relations and troop buildup. Burns and Putin go back a long way, as the CIA chief previously served as the U.S. ambassador to Russia from 2005 to 2008.
ISRAEL REJECTS PALESTINIAN CONSULATE IN JERUSALEM: The Biden administration has promised to reopen a US consulate for Palestinians in Jerusalem. But the Israeli government, which formally needs to approve such a mission, continues to reject the idea.
On Saturday, Israeli Prime Minister NAFTALI BENNETT said there was no place in the capital for such a consulate. “My position, and it was presented to the Americans … is that there is no place for an American consulate serving the Palestinians in Jerusalem. We express our opinion consistently, calmly, without drama,” he told reporters.YAIR LAPID, the nation’s foreign minister, proposed that the United States open a consulate in the occupied West Bank. “If they want to open a consulate in Ramallah, we have no problem with that,” he said.
Palestinian President MAHMOUD ABBAS rejected that idea, according to his spokesman NABIL ABU RUDEINEH. “We will only accept a US consulate in Jerusalem, the capital of the Palestinian state. That is what the US administration had announced and promised to do,” he told Reuters.
We asked the White House and the State Department what the administration’s next steps are, but we received no response.
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IRAQI PM ATTEMPTED TO KILL: Someone tried and failed to kill Iraqi Prime Minister MUSTAFA AL-KADHIMI with armed drones over the weekend, dramatically increasing tensions between the government and Iranian-backed militias suspected of orchestrating the attack.
Al-Kadhimi survived and spoke to his nation in a televised speech, although his left hand was wrapped in a bandage due to a small cut. “Cowardly rocket and drone attacks don’t build homelands and they don’t build a future,” he said before leading a security meeting.
Iraqi troops have been deployed in Baghdad to secure the capital city, and the concern is that violence could escalate between the government and militia supporters. There was already a skirmish last week.
“The protests turned deadly on Friday when protesters tried to enter the Green Zone. The security forces used tear gas and live ammunition. There was an exchange of gunfire in which a protester affiliated with the militias was killed. Dozens of security forces were injured. Al-Khadimi ordered an investigation to determine what caused the clashes and who violated the orders not to open fire, ”the Associated Press reported. Some of the leaders of the most powerful militia factions loyal to Iran openly blamed al-Kadhimi for the clashes on Friday and the death of the protester. ”
CHINA DENIES US SPY CHARGES AGAINST CHINESE CITIZENS: The first Chinese intelligence officer extradited to the US To stand trial was convicted on Friday “for conspiring and attempting to commit economic espionage and theft of trade secrets.” according to the Department of Justice. On Monday, Beijing angrily denied the charges.
“The allegation is pure fabrication,” Foreign Ministry spokesperson WANG WENBIN told reporters. “We demand that the U.S. handle the case according to the law and in a just manner to ensure the rights and interests of the Chinese citizen.”
YANJUN XU was the deputy division director of the Sixth Bureau of the Jiangsu Province Ministry of State Security in China. Since December 2013, I have recruited employees of major U.S. aviation companies to travel to China and give presentations on their work. In one instance, “Xu attempted to steal technology related to GE Aviation’s exclusive composite aircraft engine fan – which no other company in the world has been able to duplicate – to benefit the Chinese state,” the Justice Department revealed in a news release.
The Biden administration is taking Chinese economic espionage seriously. “[T] he United States will not sit by as China, or any other nation-state, attempts to steal instead of researching and developing key technology. Instead, and with the support of our allies, we will continue to investigate, prosecute, and hold accountable those who try to take the fruits of American ingenuity illegally, ”Assistant Attorney General MATTHEW OLSEN said Friday.
The Wilson Center, 8:30 am: “Assessing Regional Dynamics: The View from Egypt – A Conversation with Foreign Minister SAMEH SHOUKRY – with JAMES F. JEFFREY and DAVID PETRAEUS”
– The Atlantic Council, 9:15 am: “Security and cooperation in the Black Sea: a conversation with Romanian Foreign Minister BOGDAN AURESCU – with PAULA J. DOBRIANSKY and FREDERICK KEMPE”
– The Brookings Institution, 10 am: “Mozambique Al-Shabab Insurgency and Local and International Responses – with VANDA FELBAB-BROWN, ZENAIDA MACHADO, DINO MAHTANI and ADRIANO NUVUNGA”
– The Middle East Institute, 10 am: “Book Talk – Defending Iran: From the Revolutionary Guard to Ballistic Missiles – with GAWDAT BAHGAT, SARA BAZOOBANDI, ANOUSHIRAVAN EHTESHAMI and ALEX VATANKA”
– The Wilson Center, 11 a.m.: “Democratization in Venezuela: Thoughts on a new path – with CYNTHIA J. ARNSON, FRANCIS FUKUYAMA, MARÍA ÁNGELA HOLGUÍN, RICARDO LAGOS and MICHAEL A. PENFOLD”
– The Wilson Center, 11 a.m.: “Flash forward: Afghan voices on the future of Afghanistan – with OBAIDULLAH BAHEER, QADIR HABIB, MASUDA SULTAN and ZALA ZAZAI”
– The Hudson Institute, 12 pm: “What’s next for AUKUS? A discussion with Amb. ARTHUR SINODINOS – with JOHN P. WALTERS”
– The American Enterprise Institute, 12:30 pm: “The US International Emergency Food Assistance Program: Time for a change? – with CHRISTOPHER B. BARRETT, DAVID BECKMANN, DINA ESPOSITO, JOSEPH W. GLAUBER, STEPHANIE MERCIER and VINCENT H. SMITH ”
– The National Press Club, 12:30 pm: “Headliners Luncheon: Secretary of Veterans Affairs DENIS MCDONOUGH”
– Israel Policy Forum, 2pm: “The Israel Coalition got an approved budget. Now what? – with AMIR TIBON ”
– The Wilson Center, 2 pm: “Central Asia in 30 Years of Independence – with GEORGE KROL, DIANA KUDAIBERGENOVA, EDWARD LEMON and MATTHEW ROJANSKY”
– The Bipartisan Policy Center, 3:30 pm: “America’s Call to Duty: Ending Veterans Homelessness – with ROSANNE HAGGERTY, JOHN KUHN, R. HUNTER KURTZ, MIKE LEVIN, PHILIP MANGANO and KATHRYN MONET”.